Mastering Trade Management: Capturing Bull Runs with Baidu Inc

Finance Published: June 01, 2010
IEFEEMBAC

Title: Mastering Trade Management: Lessons from a Bull Run on Baidu Inc.

The Pivotal Role of Trade Management in Equity Trading

In equity trading, the entry is often seen as 85% of a trade's success. However, managing the trade intelligently is what helps you win the game. This blog post highlights the importance of trade management, using Baidu Inc.'s (BIDU) bull run in early 2009 as an engaging example.

Navigating Expansion After Contraction: The Tortoise and the Hare

When a contracted price action is followed by expansion, measuring the strength of this expansion can guide profitable trades. In BIDU's case, the 10-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossing over the 20-day SMA signaled a potential buy setup, leading to a significant breakout and subsequent pullback.

The Tortoise Phase: Consistent Small Gains

After entering on March 4, 2009, traders risked no more than 5% off their entry while taking half their position out at two times their risk. This allowed for a quick reliable gain and marked the beginning of the 'tortoise phase'—a series of consistent small gains that built profits and confidence.

The Hare Phase: Capturing Runaway Moves

The second half of the position was managed using the 20-day SMA as a trailing stop. When BIDU pulled back to this level on June 22, 2009, the trailing stop was hit, resulting in an 80% gain inside three and a half months—a testament to the hare phase's potential for spectacular gains.

Portfolio Implications: Focusing on Manageable Risk

This strategy of trade management can be applied across various sectors, including Financials (BAC, MS), Commodities (IEF, C), and International Equities (EEM). By focusing on manageable risk and consistent gains, investors can stay profitable and position themselves for occasional runaway moves.

Actionable Insight: Building a Winning Trade Management Strategy

Incorporating sound trade management is crucial to turning good entries into profitable trades. This means planning for exits as carefully as entries, scaling out at appropriate levels, and understanding that managing the trade is what truly sets successful traders apart.