The Hidden Cost of Time Zone Drag

Finance Published: June 01, 2010
METADIA

The metals market may seem like a global phenomenon, but the price movements in New York and London are eerily similar. A closer look reveals that there's more at play than just market forces.

The Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex) and the London Metal Exchange (LME) have a symbiotic relationship. Although they're separated by time zones, their prices move in tandem.

The Connection Between Comex and LME

A chart comparing the daily LME official settlement price and Comex opening price over five months shows an astonishing correlation. The difference between the two prices is negligible, often just pennies per pound.

The LME provides a platform for trading in non-ferrous metals, steel, and plastics. Its pricing mechanism continues 24 hours a day through three methods: a trading ring, inter-office telephone market, and electronic trading platform. Official settlement prices result from open-outcry trading between ring dealing members.

Implications for Investors

The connection between Comex and LME has significant implications for investors. It means that the spread between the two markets is often just 7-10 cents per pound. This might not seem like much, but it can add up to substantial losses or gains over time.

Investors who trade in copper futures on either exchange need to consider this spread when making investment decisions. A small difference in prices can result in significant differences in portfolio performance.

A Scenario to Consider

Suppose an investor buys a Comex copper contract for $2.75 per pound, hoping to sell it at the higher LME price of $2.81. If the market moves against them, they could lose up to 10 cents per pound on each contract. Multiply this by the number of contracts held, and the losses can add up quickly.

Actionable Insight

To minimize the impact of time zone drag, investors should consider the following strategies:

Monitor both markets closely for price movements. Use hedging techniques to mitigate potential losses. * Diversify portfolios to spread risk across different markets and asset classes.

By understanding the connection between Comex and LME, investors can make more informed decisions and minimize the hidden costs of time zone drag.